Forecasting Continued: Using Simulation to Create Prediction Intervals Around Holt-Winters

NOTE: In this post we’ll be implementing prediction intervals around the Holt-Winters forecast using Monte Carlo simulation on the error correction/state space model equations for Holt-Winters. Read this post first! … Continue Reading →

Forecasting Made Skeezy: Projecting Meth Demand using Exponential Smoothing

NOTE: I’d highly recommend following along in the spreadsheet for this post. And don’t forget to sign up for the newsletter to hear about future Analytics Made Skeezy tutorials. It’s been three … Continue Reading →