Forecasting Continued: Using Simulation to Create Prediction Intervals Around Holt-Winters

NOTE: In this post we’ll be implementing prediction intervals around the Holt-Winters forecast using Monte Carlo simulation on the error correction/state space model equations for Holt-Winters. Read this post first! … Continue Reading →


Intrusion Detection Made Skeezy: How do you find the DEA in a haystack?

NOTE: In this post we’ll be implementing the Local Outlier Factor algorithm introduced in 2000 by Breunig et. al. I’d highly recommend following along in the spreadsheet for this post. And don’t … Continue Reading →


Forecasting Made Skeezy: Projecting Meth Demand using Exponential Smoothing

NOTE: I’d highly recommend following along in the spreadsheet for this post. And don’t forget to sign up for the newsletter to hear about future Analytics Made Skeezy tutorials. It’s been three … Continue Reading →


Introduction to Machine Learning: Logistic Regression for Predicting Bad Trips

NOTE: This one is pretty complex, so I’d highly recommend following along in the spreadsheet for this post. And don’t forget to sign up for the newsletter to hear about future Analytics Made … Continue Reading →


Had a Little Run-in with the Federales

Two days after I got back from Europe, there was another early morning knock on the frat house door. Graham pulled me out of bed, fuming, “Dude, you gotta stop … Continue Reading →


MDA for MDMA: Multi-criteria Decision Analysis and ecstasy pill design

NOTE: Here is the spreadsheet for this post if you’d like to follow along. This is gonna be an awesome sheet to have laying around just as a refresher on … Continue Reading →


Even Wholesale Drug Dealers Can Use a Little Retargeting: Graphing, Clustering & Community Detection in Excel and Gephi

NOTE: Here’s the final spreadsheet for this post if you’d like to work along with Alex and Victor. No drugs needed. Two days later, I was walking to class at … Continue Reading →


Revenue Management for Meth Dealers in Flint

Note: Don’t forget to sign up for the Analytics Made Skeezy newsletter to receive future skeezy analytics tutorials. cheers, John When I left Victor that first time, my head was … Continue Reading →


Optimal Blending of Cocaine

There’s an accompanying cocaine blending optimization spreadsheet for those who’d like to follow along with todays post. Even though I’m back in Atlanta, I think I’m going to keep this thing … Continue Reading →


…and I’m fired (Plot Only)

Well, that was fast. Three weeks later and I’m already fuckin’ fired. This was supposed to be my first update from Manhattan but it looks like I’ll be packing up … Continue Reading →